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Monday, February 2, 2009

Pakistani stocks fall after rates kept on hold

Pakistani stocks fell in early trade on Monday as investors reacted bearishly to a decision by the central bank over the weekend to leave interest rates unchanged despite an alarming slowdown in the economy, dealers said.

The Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) benchmark 100-share index .KSE was 0.70 percent, or 37.85 points, lower at 5,339.57 points on turnover of 14.3 million shares by 9:43 a.m.

"There were some hopes in the market that the central bank might cut the interest rates by 50 basis points," said Sajid Bhanji, a dealer at brokers' Arif Habib Ltd.

Dealers said investors were also booking profits as the KSE-index gained 9 percent last week.

Pakistan's central bank said on Saturday its key policy discount rate would be left unchanged at 15.0 percent, although economic growth was set to fall to 3.7 percent in the fiscal year, the slowest since 2000/01.

The central bank raised interest rates by 2 percentage points in November, the same month it signed a $7.6 billion loan with the International Monetary Fund to stave off a balance of payments crisis.

State Bank of Pakistan Governor Salim Raza said there would be another review in April, leaving open the possibility of a change in rates later.

Analysts had expected the central bank to keep interest rates on hold but say the need for rate cuts is becoming more urgent as the economy weakens.

The government's top economic official said last authorities might start cutting interest rates this year as inflation eases.

Sensex below 9100; DLF, JP Associates, HDFC plunge

MUMBAI: Selling in frontline stocks intensified Monday as traders squared positions following a weak opening of European markets. Poor results from real estate companies and rate sensitive banking stocks were the worst hit.

At 2:35 pm, Bombay Stock Exchange’s Sensex was at 9080.10, down 344.14 points or 3.65 per cent. The index touched an intra-day low of 9071.39 and high of 9363.58.

National Stock Exchange’s Nifty was at 2774.50, down 100.3 points or 3.49 per cent. The broader index touched a low of 2764.75 and high of 2873.45.

BSE Midcap Index was down 0.88 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index declined 0.78 per cent.

DLF (-12.27%), Jaiprakash Associates (-10.49%), Reliance Infrastructure (-7.61%), HDFC (-6.54%) and Hindalco (-5.91%) were the top Sensex losers.

Maruti Suzuki (0.53%) was the lone index gainer.

All sectoral indices were in red with realty being the worst hit on account of poor results. BSE Realty Index was down 8.89 per cent, BSE Metal Index fell 4.72 per cent, BSE Bankex declined 4.34 per cent and BSE Oil&gas index was down 2.78 per cent.

Maruti Suzuki announced highest ever domestic and total sales in January. During the month, the company sold 67,005 units in the domestic market, up 5.6 per cent over corresponding month last fiscal. The previous highest monthly domestic sales were 65,216 units in November 2007.

DLF 's net profit for quarter ended Dec was down 68.72 per cent to Rs 670.79 crore from Rs 2144.98 crore in the same quarter a year ago. Revenues fell 62.02 per cent to Rs 1366.67 crore from Rs 3598.42 crore. Other income was up 157.65 per c ent to Rs 136.12 crore from Rs 52.83 crore.

Unitech’s Q3 net profit was down 74.12 per cent to Rs 136.05 crore, sales was down 57.15 per cent to Rs 489.39 crore. The company is in talks with three private equity players to sell about 20-26 per cent of its equity for an estimated Rs 2,500 crore. The funds would go into diluting its debt load, which is currently at Rs 8,000 crore. The scrip was down 8.24 per cent.

Indiabulls Real Estate Q3 consolidated net profit was at Rs 11.33 crore versus Rs 25.84 crore. Net sales stood at Rs 38.95 crore from Rs 81.56 crore. The stock was down 9.63 per cent.

Sensex declines most in three weeks, loses 3.8%

The 30-share BSE index ended at 9,066.70, 357.54 points down and 50-share NSE Nifty lost 108.20 points to close at 2766.65
Mumbai: The Bombay Stock Exchange’s (BSE) benchmark index fell the most in three weeks on Monday. Auto makers and developers declined after Tata Motors Ltd posted a loss and Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd (M&M) and DLF Ltd reported earnings that lagged behind analysts’ estimates.
Tata Motors fell 3.9%, while M&M declined 3.5%. DLF dropped 14% to its lowest since it went public in 2007.
“Analysts have overestimated company earnings,” said Jayesh Shroff, who helps manage $2 billion (Rs 9,800 crore) in equities at SBI Asset Management Co. Ltd in Mumbai. “They haven’t estimated the extent of erosion in profits correctly.”
The Sensex fell 357.54 points, or 3.8%, to 9,066.70, the most since 7 January. The S&P CNX Nifty index on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) slid 108.15 points, or 3.8%, to 2,766.65.
DLF fell 14% to Rs153. The company reported a 69% drop in third quarter (Q3) net income to Rs671 crore on 31 January. That was lower than the Rs1,590 crore median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. DLF had its rating cut to “reduce” by Kotak Institutional Equities Research after the earnings.
Unitech Ltd traded 8.9% lower at Rs29.30. Profit declined 74% to Rs136 crore, missing the Rs300 crore median estimate in a Bloomberg survey.
Tata Motors dropped 3.9% to Rs143.75 after reporting its first quarterly loss in seven years. The company had a net loss of Rs263 crore in the quarter ended 31 December. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey was for net income of Rs14.20 crore. The loss doesn’t include financials of Jaguar and Land Rover.
M&M fell 3.5% to Rs291.75 after Q3 profit tumbled by 99%, more than expected, as currency losses mounted and sales fell. Net income in the three months ended 31 December dropped to Rs1.20 crore, lagging behind the Rs109 crore profit estimate of analysts surveyed.
Kingfisher Airlines Ltd dropped Rs2.35, or 6.7%, to Rs32.70 after the company said its Q3 loss widened to Rs413 crore, from Rs191 crore a year earlier.
SpiceJet Ltd declined Re0.74, or 5.3%, to Rs13.26 after the company reported a Rs17.96 crore net loss in the three months ended December, compared with a Rs9.34 crore profit a year earlier.
State Bank of India fell Rs55.20, or 4.8%, to Rs1,095.80 after the lender said it will keep interest rates on new home loans unchanged at 8% for a period of one year.

Stocks mostly lower after manufacturing report

NEW YORK (AP) -- Wall Street extended a monthlong slide Monday, largely shaking off a better-than-expected reading on manufacturing. Tech stocks outperformed the market, giving the Nasdaq composite index a slight gain.

The Institute for Supply Management said manufacturing activity rose during January from a record low, but still fell for the 12th straight month as the recession spread around the world. The trade group of purchasing executives said its widely-followed survey of manufacturing rose to 35.6 percent in January from 32.9 in December. That was well above the reading of 32.6 economists had expected.

"It's good that it came in better than expected, but it's not one of the key numbers," said Jim Herrick, director of equity trading at Baird & Co., referring to the manufacturing index.

The market was more concerned about a Commerce Department report that personal spending fell for the sixth straight month in December by 1 percent. Analysts had predicted a decline of 0.9 percent. Incomes also dipped, and the personal savings rate shot higher, a sign that consumers remain extremely nervous about the economy.

The department also said construction spending dropped by 1.4 percent in December, slightly worse than the 1.2 percent decline economists expected.

The major market indexes have fallen for four straight weeks on increasing pessimism about the economy, and the Dow Jones industrials and the Standard & Poor's 500 had their worst January ever.

The tech sector was the one bright spot on Monday. Gains in the sector helped to offset some of the losses in the broader market.

"Technology is one of the sectors that people, businesses are always going to need," said Keith Springer, president of Capital Financial Advisory Services. "There's a feeling that corporations are going to continue to invest in technology."

In late morning trading, the Dow fell 68.34, or 0.85 percent, to 7,932.52, after earlier falling as much as 121 points. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 3.09, or 0.37 percent, to 822.79, and the Nasdaq rose 8.00, or 0.54 percent, to 1,484.42.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 0.36, or 0.08 percent, to 443.89.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers by nearly 2 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 466.1 million shares.

As the economy deteriorates and consumers hunker down, investors are once again looking to Washington for help. But the market has been growing worried about government gridlock over a stimulus package for individuals and businesses.

The stimulus package that passed the House last week now goes to the Senate, where Republican leader Mitch McConnell said Sunday the bill backed by President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats could be defeated if it's not stripped of what Republicans deem unnecessary spending.

Investors are also concerned about the nation's ailing banks. So far, no "bad bank" plan has emerged from the White House. Such a plan would allow the government to take the riskiest assets off of banks' books and put them into a government-controlled entity.

Last week, the Dow closed down 0.90 percent, the S&P fell 0.70 percent, and the Nasdaq composite index lost 0.10 percent. Trading is likely to be fractious again this week as investors await the government's January jobs report, due Friday morning.

"The market doesn't like uncertainty," Herrick said. "Right now we're in a very uncertain time. Until we get some clarity on how deep this recession is, the market is going to be in a trading range."

Investors will also be looking to more corporate earnings reports for an indication of the economy's health. While there have been a few bright spots among the reports so far, the majority have been disappointing.

In earnings news Monday, toy maker Mattel Inc. said its fourth-quarter profit skidded 46 percent, well below analysts' estimates, as the recession curbed consumer spending.

Health insurer Humana Inc. reported that its fourth-quarter profit dropped 28 percent, driven by higher claim expenses from its stand-alone Medicare prescription drug plans and a plunge in its commercial business.

Mattel shares plunged $2.16, or 15.22 percent, to $12.03 Humana jumped $3.25, or 8.57 percent, to $41.18.

Among tech stocks, Microsoft Corp. rose 83 cents, or 4.9 percent, to $17.93, and Intel Corp. added 28 cents, or 2.2 percent, to $13.18.

Early Monday, bond prices were mixed. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 2.78 percent from 2.85 percent late Friday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, considered one of the safest investments, rose slightly to 0.24 percent from 0.22 percent late Friday.

The dollar was mostly higher against other major currencies, while gold prices fell.

Light, sweet crude fell 76 cents to $40.92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.50 percent. In afternoon trading, Britain's FTSE 100 fell 2.16 percent, Germany's DAX index fell 1.71 percent, and France's CAC-40 fell 1.93 percent.